CPM Investing LLC - Investment Publications
Double the Value of Your Retirement Account
Over a 10- to 15-Year Period
Compared to Alternatives with the Same Variability
We provide investment research that will help you improve the returns of your investment account. The weekly publications consist of a range of model portfolios (specific ETFs and their target weights for the coming week) that we believe will achieve certain return, variability, and implementation characteristics over time.
The Focused 15 Investing model portfolios rotate asset class ETFs over time. We do not forecast economic or political outcomes. Instead, we forecast likely investor reaction to outcomes. We describe our two- to fifteen-week forecasts of reaction in terms of market resilience and vulnerability for the asset class ETFs in the model portfolios. We emphasize the resilient asset class ETFs and underweight the vulnerable asset class ETFs.
You select the model portfolio that best fits your circumstances and use that going forward. You trade your account (usually once a week on Friday) to match the target weights in the weekly publication. We also provide educational videos and worksheets to help you understand the analysis driving our model portfolios and how to implement your trading decisions.
We provide high-value, actionable research. But we do not provide advice customized to the circumstances of any specific individual since we are not a registered investment advisor.
Focused 15 Investing Research...
Jeffrey Hansen has also written books about decision-making processes of large investment management firms around the world (see LinkedIn profile).
For novices, defines...
EASY TO USE
If you can buy something on Amazon, you can trade your retirement account.
We provide educational material for trading that enable you trade quickly and effectively.
ALGORITHMS BEHIND THE PUBLICATIONS
Our model portfolios are based on our proprietary algorithms. For each major market index, we create a Market Resilience Index™ (MRI) series that reveals the market's short-, medium-, and long-term ability to withstand bad news and negative economic developments.
The MRIs are generated are not based on forecasts of companies, economies, or the outcomes of specific news events. Making successful forecasts of these elements over a long periods of time is extremely difficult. We believe it is more practical and effective to assess the market's ability to recover from any bad news or negative events should they occur.
MRI-based disciplines can be tested over long historical periods and used on a regular basis going forward. The MRIs have been tested on over 1700 years of market history (covering approximately 85 indexes with an average of 20 years of history). The Dow Jones Industrial Average has 100 years of index price history and is especially useful because of its long history. Our research indicates that over reasonably short periods of time (roughly 18 months), the prices of major market indexes move in accordance with these systematic measures of market resilience.
The model portfolios in our publications are designed to favor resilient markets and to avoid vulnerable markets. For example, a model portfolio might favor stocks when they are determined to be resilient and avoid bonds when they are vulnerable.
Subscribers use different model portfolios at different stages of their retirement investing based on the length of time they have to earn returns (investment horizon), the amount of money they have to invest, and how much time they can spend trading their account each week.
When one is just getting started, say 20 to 35 years old, one tends to have more time to earn returns than money to invest. These investors can and should a tolerate higher variability of returns in order to get higher long-term returns. They can use model portfolios with higher expected returns. If the accounts are small, say less than $5000, the model portfolios with and a smaller number of ETFs are more practical.
When one is close to retirement, one tends to have more money to invest than time to earn returns. These investors tend to have more time to trade. They can use the more conservative model portfolios that involve a larger number of ETFs to help smooth the returns.
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Focused 15 Investing and Market Resilience Index are registered trademarks of CPM Investing LLC